Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.003382 0.003549 0.003719 0.003906 0.004107 0.004315 0.004548
2025-05-25 0.003137 0.003391 0.003660 0.003969 0.004315 0.004691 0.005134
2025-06-01 0.002943 0.003242 0.003570 0.003957 0.004403 0.004904 0.005514
2025-06-08 0.002781 0.003111 0.003480 0.003924 0.004450 0.005057 0.005817
2025-06-15 0.002630 0.002978 0.003374 0.003860 0.004448 0.005142 0.006033
2025-06-22 0.002505 0.002867 0.003285 0.003807 0.004450 0.005223 0.006241
2025-06-29 0.002425 0.002804 0.003247 0.003809 0.004514 0.005380 0.006544
2025-07-06 0.002294 0.002673 0.003121 0.003696 0.004427 0.005339 0.006589
2025-07-13 0.002232 0.002623 0.003090 0.003699 0.004484 0.005481 0.006873
2025-07-20 0.002201 0.002608 0.003101 0.003752 0.004604 0.005707 0.007280
2025-07-27 0.002132 0.002543 0.003046 0.003718 0.004609 0.005779 0.007477
2025-08-03 0.002073 0.002489 0.003003 0.003695 0.004626 0.005866 0.007697
2025-08-10 0.002014 0.002434 0.002956 0.003669 0.004637 0.005946 0.007913
2025-08-17 0.001994 0.002428 0.002973 0.003726 0.004765 0.006192 0.008383
2025-08-24 0.001948 0.002385 0.002941 0.003714 0.004795 0.006301 0.008654
2025-08-31 0.001897 0.002335 0.002896 0.003685 0.004798 0.006369 0.008865
2025-09-07 0.001838 0.002273 0.002832 0.003626 0.004757 0.006371 0.008972
2025-09-14 0.001785 0.002217 0.002777 0.003577 0.004728 0.006388 0.009101
2025-09-21 0.001754 0.002190 0.002759 0.003579 0.004772 0.006514 0.009409
2025-09-28 0.001686 0.002111 0.002668 0.003475 0.004656 0.006395 0.009312
2025-10-05 0.001659 0.002087 0.002653 0.003478 0.004698 0.006517 0.009617
2025-10-12 0.001650 0.002087 0.002669 0.003526 0.004808 0.006748 0.010118
2025-10-19 0.001614 0.002049 0.002631 0.003495 0.004798 0.006790 0.010296